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Fair and balanced news and opinion commentary by Thomas Nephew. Can you hear me now? e-mail
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Saturday, May 17, 2003
Friday, May 16, 2003
Texas Rangers: Courtesy, Service, Deception Yesterday I wondered whether the AMICC agency that helped locate the Texan Democrats failed to follow procedures, or whether those procedures were too loose. The answer turns out to be: too loose -- at least, too loose to trip up deceptive state law enforcement officers. My apologies to AMICC for the implication they'd abused their powers ("..or help locate," etc. etc.) Via the Dallas Morning News, via Josh Marshall, here's the un-flipping-believable story: a Texas Ranger misled the AMICC to wheedle the information out of them: The bureau says one of its officers at the center in Riverside, Calif., received "an urgent phone call from a concerned Texas Department of Public Safety officer" on Monday who stated: "We got a problem, and I hope you can help me out. We had a plane that was supposed to be going from Ardmore, Oklahoma, to Georgetown, Texas. It had state representatives in it, and we cannot find this plane." The bureau says the DPS officer "expressed concern that the plane had not arrived at its intended destination."Moreover, it seems hard to believe [Texas House Speaker] Craddick didn't know about it. Marshall also convinces me that there's more to the DeLay-FBI angle than the Star-Telegram story implied. Could better procedures by AMICC have tripped up the Texas DPS (motto: "Courtesy, Service, Protection") officer somehow? It's hard to conceive of a system that distinguishes "good faith" from "bad faith" missing plane search requests, unless the idea is merely to create a verifiable lie. You hardly want federal agents dickering around about a supposed life and death situation. I'll note that if the Texas officer had an actual or implied ("plan to return? yes") flight plan, what I know of his phone performance may turn out to be borderline "truthful," in 10-year old lawyer fashion. He clearly already suspected the Dems were in Ardmore. But basically, I think he either actually or essentially placed a kind of fake 911 call, and should be on the hook for that at the federal level. And if Craddick or -- dare I hope it -- Tom DeLay knew about the subterfuge, maybe they're on the hook, too. Now if they'll only lie about it under oath. Then we'd have 'em! When medievalists go wild: debauchery in Kalamazoo These guys rock: Sister Andrea of the Interfaith Nunnery collective reports on the Thirty-Eighth International Congress on Medieval Studies in Kalamazoo:The Dance. Quite a hallucinatory experience: hundreds of scholars between the ages of twenty-one and... seventy?... grinding on the dance floor to music that stretches from techno back to polka. I heard a sixty-some-year-old male professor enthusiastically head-banging to "Girls Just Wanna Have Fun" announce, "I love this song. Who sings it?"Careful with the mead, it might be spiked. Why aren't I having this much fun? Where have I gone wrong? Thursday, May 15, 2003
Farce majeure The Texas Democratic legislators saga has veered out of the comedy lane. The Dallas-Fort Worth Star Telegram reports ("Eyes of Texas, U.S. on truant legislators," via Matthew Yglesias): One federal agency that became involved early on was the Air and Marine Interdiction and Coordination Center [AMICC], based in Riverside, Calif. -- which now falls under the auspices of the Homeland Security Department.AMICC's purpose? The Air and Marine Interdiction Coordination Center (AMICC), located in Riverside, California, is the only law enforcement facility of its kind in the U.S. and is the Nation's "eyes and ears." Opened in October 1988, this multiagency radar, communications and control center is linked to a wide array of civilian and military radar sites, aerostats, airborne reconnaissance aircraft and other detection assets, which provides 24-hour, seamless radar surveillance throughout the continental U.S., Puerto Rico, the Caribbean, and beyond. This allows Customs to identify, track, and support the interdiction and apprehension of violators attempting to enter U.S. airspace with illegal drugs or terrorist objectives... or help locate Texas Democrats resisting Republican gerrymandering if called upon to do so. AMICC will pretty much tell anyone who gives us a call whatever they need to know about any private plane they're curious about, especially if it seems like it would make Karl Rove happy.OK, I made up that last part. This is small beans in one sense, but of a piece with other stories I'm following, like the "no-fly" business. That story, too, revolves at minimum around the procedures and accountability of a DHS agency. Either someone failed to follow procedure at AMICC, or those procedures are too loose. It would be nice to find out which is true. ===== UPDATE, May 16: Answer: procedures too loose to catch a tricky Texas DPS officer; see above. Apologies to AMICC. Wednesday, May 14, 2003
Iraqi WMD: not wrong. Yet. On Sunday, Gary Farber published a mea culpa on learning that the U.S. is planning to withdraw the lead group in charge of finding WMD in Iraq (Washington Post, "Frustrated, U.S. Arms Team to Leave Iraq "). Team members seem demoralized, and doubt that they'll ever find "smoking guns." Farber, chagrined, writes: If this bears out, I was terribly, tragically, wrong, on the threat of chemical and biological weapons in Iraq. And if so, I am a fool, a blunderer, and an idiot.Not so fast, Gary! It now appears that the U.S. government is not throwing in the towel -- the most demoralizing implication of the Post's story -- but shifting gears in the hunt for evidence of Iraqi WMD. Reuters' Steve Holland reports: With evidence of weapons of mass destruction elusive, the United States and its war allies are replacing arms inspectors in Iraq with a new, larger team that will try to piece together "a deception program" by Saddam Hussein, a top White House official said on Monday.Of course, with all the looting and destruction that's happened, one might reasonably ask "what paper trail?" Monday's capture of "Jack of Spades" Ibrahim Ahmad Abd al Sattar Muhammad al Tikriti (whew) and a key scientist may provide more answers. The recent possible mobile bioweapon production find (New York Times, Reuters) is encouraging, too, if not the ideal convincing case for Iraqi WMD. Ken Pollack's recent comments to a Council on Foreign Relations editor (via Matthew Yglesias) are still worth considering, although his credibility is on the line here, too: I still think it is very premature to suggest that Saddam either did or did not have the weapons. Now it's not just that the fat lady hasn't sung yet, it's that in some senses the orchestra is just starting to tune up. We are only at the very beginning of what will have to be a very extensive weapons search throughout Iraq.Pollack's ensuing remarks are a bit precious for my taste: he asserts we should have either gone to war as soon as Blix found substantial lack of cooperation, or waited for a year to assemble a stronger coalition.* We waited because Blair needed us to, and were only barely willing to do even that. But if you were as resolved as Pollack and Blair that Saddam was dangerous to the region and the world, assembling the perfect coalition to take to war against him was a luxury, not a necessity. But Pollack makes a good point: between SCR 1441 and Blix's report of non-cooperation, the formal justification for the war was there. Saddam's apparent gamesmanship with the Security Council and the United States could not be tolerated. Saddam was on probation for a good reason; even a minor violation of probation is still a violation. Still, the whole buildup that led to SCR 1441 was premised on a serious Iraqi WMD threat. If that threat was spurious, the Bush folk have some 'splainin' to do. If they knew it was spurious, there should be resignations and even impeachment: surely a lie that leads to war is more actionable than a lie that covers up an affair with the office intern. It's fine to have liberated Iraq; it's an important relief to know Saddam is gone from power. But it definitely would not be fine to learn the United States went to war after being lied to by the Bush administration. It won't just be the Bushies who'll have to look in the mirror. I will have given an administration I didn't really like or trust too much leeway in explaining its actions. Ultimately, I will have let my fear of one kind of mistake -- asserting Saddam could be lived with, but learning he couldn't -- drive me to make the opposite kind: supporting a war that was fundamentally about weapons programs he then turned out not to have. I'll join Gary in mea culpas if (when?) the U.S. ends serious efforts to determine what happened to the Iraqi WMD the Bush administration was warning about, or learns they were never there. That hasn't happened yet.** If it does, a full investigation and accounting are essential. What has happened, though, is already bad enough. While it's obvious that the forces on hand at the beginning of Gulf War II were adequate to the job of conquering Iraq, they were not adequate to the job of securing it. Untold damage has been done by allowing looters to pilfer government offices and weapons sites full of dangerously radioactive materials.*** The failure to secure even critical sites like the Tawaitha nuclear research facility is a black mark against the Bush administration, and raises doubts about what its intentions or competence -- take your pick -- really are. ===== * Tim Dunlop points out how Pollack appears to waffle on this over time. Mr. Dunlop has been after Pollack's hide for some time now. ** I must mention "Operation Desert Snipe" somewhere in here, so here goes. This is a well researched and argued case against there being any Iraqi WMD before the war began. It deserves the "magisterial" accolade Jim Henley bestows on it. Well written, yes. Compelling, no. "Cogent provocateur's" (aka RonK) key device is a "standard WMD" scenario constructed to be wrong now and claimed to be essential to supporting the war. Nutshell counterarguments: one can be 99% sure of the presence of WMD in a country without knowing precisely where they are, just as it's reasonable to infer there's a gun in a building by hearing a gunshot or finding a resident's receipt for a gun in the dumpster. The WMD did not have to be weaponized, i.e., ready to be used, to present a Security Council resolution violation and a real threat to regional peace. Biological and chemical weapons, while not as deadly as nuclear weapons, are quite deadly enough; their concealment would not augur well for efforts to prevent or find nuclear weapons development. And if Saddam didn't have WMD, why the song and dance with Blix? Why not just welcome UNMOVIC, say "knock yourselves out, help yourselves to the fridge," and have frequent photo ops with earnest good people from around the globe? Finally, one of RonK's own comments undermines his general "wings of a snipe" criticism: Tactically, Saddam might have contrived to deal us a PR blow by covertly destroying residual stocks and inviting the inspectors in ... while preserving the ability to brew them up again later. [Only enriched nuclear material and biological seed cultures are physically compact and expensive enough to justify preservation.]The "preserved ability to brew them up later" has (apparently) been found for bioweapons. I expect similar capabilities are not far-fetched for chemical weapons, which RonK points out have cheaper precursors anyway. And as far as RonK's argument goes, I feel that if WMD stocks were only destroyed in the months before this war, the "material breach" of older resolutions was still there. RonK all but makes a "Saddam was the real WMD" argument here. -- Nevertheless, his thesis of collective self-deception is a real possibility. *** I'm leaving museums out of it here. I'll update my previous post on that when I've read the latest from David "Cronaca" and Francis Deblauwe. ===== UPDATE, May 19: On Saturday, Aziz Poonawalla reposted and expanded some of his comments to this item; as always, his thoughts are worth your time. Captions wanted
===== UPDATE, May 15: Sadly, the Klingon story, as reported in the Contra Costa Times, is a wire service rewrite hoax with a kernel of truth: whimsical Portland health employees asked if they could pay Klingon interpreters if needed; no positions were advertised, no patients speak Klingon. First the New York Times, now the Contra Costa Times. Who's (sob) left? Who can I trust? (Via "Wrong Side of Happiness") I still want captions for the story, though. Tuesday, May 13, 2003
Political correctness in Zimbabwe: bloody and real Doris Lessing's April 10 "New York Review of Books" article "The Jewel of Africa" makes it clear: she does not like Robert Mugabe. Not one little bit. She has a point, and supports it well. But she nearly buries it for many readers with an early paragraph: Mugabe is now widely execrated, and rightly, but blame for him began late. Nothing is more astonishing than the silence about him for so many years among liberals and well-wishers—the politically correct. What crimes have been committed in the name of political correctness. A man may get away with murder, if he is black. Mugabe did, for many years.I came across her article while reading German blogger "FraFuchs," who was uncomfortable with the "get away with murder, if he is black" part. The ensuing discussion tended to refrain from seriously considering Mugabe's crimes, focusing instead on Lessing's "PC" charge. I weighed in, claiming that was a side issue ("Nebensache"). Lessing's essay, focused on events in Zimbabwe, can't possibly make a case about politically correct "liberals and well-wishers" in the West turning a blind eye to a tyrant because he was black. But it succeeds in the more important task of documenting Mugabe's pettiness, viciousness, and betrayal of his people and his opportunity. And as I read and reread it, I believe I hit on what the disconnect for me and the German readers was: Lessing isn't mainly concerned with Western political correctness. She's at least as concerned, I think, with specific Zimbabwean forms of political correctness and related self-deceptions -- including her own. Excerpts: Early in his regime, we might have seen what he was when the infamous Fifth Brigade, thugs from North Korea, hated by blacks and whites alike, became Mugabe's bodyguards, and did his dirty work, notably when he attempted what was virtually genocide of thousands of the Ndebele people (the second-largest tribe) in Matabeleland. [...]Lessing is a Zimbabwe/Rhodesian expatriate, a 'recovering Communist,' and a liberal. I think the combination accounts for her mixture of pride in the white farmer class she belonged to, opposition to its arrogant oppression of blacks during the Rhodesian years, impatience with ideological cant, and sorrow at what modern-day Zimbabwe has become. Her point that the West has ignored black murderers in Africa actually needs little elaboration: Rwanda, Congo, various and sundry diamond-afflicted countries of West Africa are all examples from the recent past. The ZANU indoctrination program is a brutally concrete example of political correctness, Zimbabwean style. Mugabe's lies are part of a kind of Zimbabwean "Project 1984": rewriting history for the sake of his hold on power. As for liberals and well wishers giving Mugabe undeserved passes, Zimbabwean examples turn up throughout the essay: cronies privately sighing "it wasn't supposed to get out of hand," bureaucrats excusing corruption with the sad claim that "you can't expect democracy of the European type in Africa," Lessing herself doubting Mugabe could be making plans that would ruin his people. The "PC" wars may be a dull topic in the U.S. or Europe. But political correctness is a deadly serious issue in Zimbabwe; it's enforced with beatings and murder, there's nothing "quote-unquote" about it. That's when lesser forms of cant and self-deception become more than mere annoyances, they become a form of collaboration. Lessing succeeds in writing about that; Mr. Fuchs, his commenters, and I all failed to recognize that message. That's generally the writer's fault, but in this case, we readers may share some of the blame. Copyright © 2001-2007 Thomas Nephew All rights reserved |