The past few seasons have not been kind to the ACC. Sure they've had a few Final Four teams, but the number of teams making the NCAA Tournament has dwindled to just a handful these past two seasons. In addition, many programs have languished in mediocrity, resulting in less competition for the few quality teams in the league. Well, that should all change this season, as a host of talented teams will help the ACC regain its claim as the nation's top conference. Anything less than 6 teams in the Tournament would be disappointing.
Let's start at the top, where 3 teams will fight for the conference crown...Maryland, Duke & North Carolina. All three of them should be among the nation's Top 10 teams for most of the season. Duke will be the consensus pick to win it, thanks in part to their very talented starting five. North Carolina should be able to build on last season's late run to the Final Four, but will depend on a freshman to handle the PG duties after four steady years of Ed Cota. Maryland showed many last season (including myself) that they're still a power to be reckon with, and should be even better this season. In fact, they may be the conference's bast team by season's end. The middle of the conference will be a dog-fight between Wake Forest, Virginia & NC State. All three could easily wind up in the NCAA Tournament, but just a minor slip could cause one to fall just short. Virginia will keep folks entertained with it's up-tempo offense, but will that be enough to stay ahead of solid defensive teams like Wake & NC State? It should be interesting! The rest (Clemson, Georgia Tech, Florida St.) will try to stay out of the basement and maintain respect by keeping it tight against the big boys, but honestly, there's not much hope for post-season action this season. Then again, maybe Will Solomon will make we eat my words!
ON THE RISE: Maryland
Yeah,
I totally missed the boat last season when I predicted the Terps
to finish in seventh place! I guess I underestimated their young
talent! Anyhow, after watching them last season, I realize my
mistake and believe this team will make even bigger strides this
season. Everyone's back, plus two big-time newcomers arrive...Chris
Wilcox & Byron Mouton. If the talented Mouton learns how to
play defense, he could give them a starting five on par with Duke's,
but with a much deeper bench. It could be a banner year in College
Park!
IN DECLINE: Florida St.
Coach
Robinson is a great guy and a talented coach, but he's been a
step behind everyone else when it comes to attracting talent to
Tallahassee. His best players, Ron Hale & Damous Anderson,
are gone. There's still a few quality players around, but definitely
not enough to compete in a powerful conference like the ACC. With
Billy Donovan loading up the Gators, and Miami ever-improving,
there might not be enough talent to go around for the Noles to
move up the conference. Unfortunately, it may cost him his job
soon.
|
Jason Williams Joe Forte Terence Morris Shane Battier Brendan Haywood |
6' 2" 6' 4" 6' 9" 6' 8" 7' 0" |
So. So. Sr. Sr. Sr. |
G G F F C |
Duke North Carolina Maryland Duke North Carolina |
1. MARYLAND
Strengths:
Aggressive
team defense. Good, balanced offense. Good rebounding team. Very
experienced & deep.
Weakness: Lose focus on occasion, resulting in too many
turnovers.
Outlook: Duke will be everyone's choice, but I'm going
with the Terps. They have just as much talent, but are bigger
& deeper than the Blue Devils. Plus, they've owned UNC lately,
so they're not a concern. If they can get a high seed, they should
be Final Four bound!
|
Probable Starters PG: Steven Blake, So. |
Top Reserves 6th: Byron Mouton, Jr. |
2. DUKE
Strengths:
Explosive
offense, excellent defense. Good shooting team. Team quickness.
Good ball-handling. Limit their turnovers.
Weakness: Questionable rebounding team. Lack of depth.
Outlook: Once again, the Dukies will be one of the most
talented teams in the nation and will win many games. They'll
probably even make the Final Four. However, will their lack of
depth hurt them in the Tournament again? Can 6 players win it
all? We'll see!
|
Probable Starters PG: Jason Williams, So. |
Top Reserves 6th: Chris Duhon, Fr. |
3. NORTH CAROLINA
Strengths:
Good
shooting team. Excellent frontcourt. Forte's ability to score.
Very experienced team.
Weakness: Inexperienced PG. Passive defense - doesn't force
many turnovers.
Outlook: Solid team who should have an excellent season.
But, 2 things will keep them from reaching the top...their big,
but SLOW frontcout, and new coach Matt Doherty. Trust me, Coach
Doherty will be a great one, but he's going to have to learn along
the way!
|
Probable Starters PG: Adam Boone, Fr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Brian Morrison, Fr. |
4. VIRGINIA
Strengths:
Quick,
athletic team who can put points on the board. Good 3-pt shooting
team.
Weakness: Poor rebounding team. Defense allows too many
easy baskets. Too many turnovers.
Outlook: Came up just short of the NCAA Tournament last
season, but should make it this time. With more experience and
new found confidence, this team is too talented not to make it.
If big-man Jason Rogers develops, they could go even further!
|
Probable Starters PG: Donald Hand, Sr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Keith Friel, Sr. |
5. WAKE FOREST
Strengths:
Deep
& experienced team. Plays good team defense. Solid rebounding
team.
Weakness: Limited offensively. Poor 3-pt & FT shooting
team.
Outlook: After a disappointing season, the Deacs finally
got it together and won the NIT Tournament. That should carry
over to this season, as they return to the Big Dance and possibly
the Top 25.
|
Probable Starters PG: Ervin Murray, Jr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Craig Dawson, Jr. |
6. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Strengths:
Good
team defense. Wilkins' star potential. Very experienced. Tough
at home.
Weakness: Questionable ball-handling & distribution.
Poor FT shooting team. Few wins on the road.
Outlook: Every year we hear how tough the Wolfpack will
be, but they always manage to stay in the middle of the pack!
Talent keeps arriving, but Coach Sendak has yet to get them to
the NCAA Tournament. Will this finally be the year? Tough call.
|
Probable Starters PG: Archie Miller, Jr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Ron Kelley, Sr. |
7. CLEMSON
Strengths:
Big,
strong frontline, who can rebound very well. Good team defense.
Weakness: Poor ball-handling & distribution - too many
turnovers. Lousy shooting team. Frontcourt depth.
Outlook: The loss of PF Chuck Gilmore to injury hurt the
Tigers chances for the NIT, but it may better prepare them for
next season.
|
Probable Starters PG: Ed Scott, So. |
Top Reserves 6th: Tony Stockman, Fr. |
8. GEORGIA TECH
Strengths:
Excellent
rebounding team. Good interior defense.
Weakness: Poor shooting team. Little inside scoring. Sloppy
ball-handling. Once again, little depth.
Outlook: Coach Cremins was a decent coach who simply lost
his recruiting touch, and thus was let go. New coach Paul Hewitt
should eventually energize the program, but it won't be for quite
some time. Little talent left here to do any damage.
|
Probable Starters PG: Tony Akins, Jr. |
Top Reserves 6th: T.J. Vines, Sr. |
9. FLORIDA STATE
Strengths:
Solid
backcourt. Decent team defense.
Weakness: Who's going to score? Poor rebounding team. Poor
ball-handling. Little depth.
Outlook: The talent is simply not there to compete in this
league. Unless a miracle happens, changes will be coming soon!
|
Probable Starters PG: Delvon Arrington, Sr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Michael Joiner, Fr. |
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