Let's face it, the Atlantic 10 was a disappointment last season. St. Joe's and Temple were supposed to be Top 25 teams and serious contenders come March. In the end, only Xavier made it to the Big Dance. Not good for a major conference! This season, things have to improve. First, Xavier will be one of the country's top teams! They will not disappoint! They lost hard-nosed Kevin Frey, but have 3 talented wide-bodies to replace him. Add these guys along side one of the best inside players in the country (David West), plus an experienced and talented backcourt, and you can see why Xavier will be a force this season!
After Xavier, things get fuzzy. Both Dayton and Richmond return a number of talented players and should be in the bubble picture come March. In fact, if either one of these teams can separate from each other and nip at the heels of Xavier, that could be good enough to reach the NCAA's. In the East, things are really murky. Temple is still the favorite, but I don't get the feeling that teams will fear the Owls as they have in the past. However, watch out for one of my sleeper teams for this season...St. Bonaventure! They lost scoring machine J.R. Bremer, but have a number of guys who can put points on the board in a hurry!
Unfortunately, this league has some really awful teams! Rhode Island, Fordham, Duquesne and GW will really bring down the power rating of this conference and will push many teams into the NIT, instead of the Big Dance. Until those programs get their Shiite together, the A10 will struggle to get more than one bid every March.
ON THE RISE: Xavier
Coach
Matta has taken the Musketeers to higher levels than his predecessor,
Skip Prosser! With the return of All-American David West, and
the arrival of a number of talented freshmen and JUCO's, this
could be the best Xavier team in a decade! Look for them in the
Top 10 all season long, and pencil them in the Top 25 for years
to come!
IN DECLINE: Fordham
What
in the hell has happened with the Rams? Once, not so long ago,
there was a boatload of talented players, a quality coach and
excited fans who were looking for that breakout season. For numerous
reasons, it never occurred. Most of those players have left campus
and there's little talent remaining for Coach Bob Hill, whose
mind has also left, still dreaming of another NBA stint! Look
for this to be his last year in the Bronx!
|
Jameer Nelson Romain Sato Chris Monroe Mike Skrocki David West |
6' 0" 6' 4" 6' 3" 6' 6" 6' 8" |
Jr. Jr. Sr. Jr. Sr. |
G G F F C |
St. Joseph's Xavier G. Washington Richmond Xavier |
1. TEMPLE
Strengths:
Excellent
team defense, that forces many turnovers. Take care of the ball
well. Wings who can score.
Weakness: New frontcourt may struggle to score and rebound.
Questionable PG. Poor shooting team.
Outlook: As usual, the Owls came on strong at the end of
the season after a rough start. Look for a similar pattern to
hold this season. They have the talent to take this division again,
but need steady PG play and big Keith Butler to contribute down
low in order to reach the NCAA's.
|
Probable Starters PG: Nile Murry, So. |
Top Reserves 6th: Brian Polk, Jr. |
2. ST. BONAVENTURE
Strengths:
Excellent
backcourt. Good offensive team. Team quickness. Limit their turnovers.
Good FT shooting team.
Weakness: Weak frontcourt. Little inside scoring or rebounding.
Horrible team defense.
Outlook: The Bonnies have quietly been building a solid
program here in the East. I'm pretty high on this team and think
they can surpass Temple this season if they only play a little
defense now and then. Keep an eye on Green & Gansey...they
can really light it up.
|
Probable Starters PG: Marques Green, Jr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Maurice Young, So. |
3. UMASS
Strengths:
Solid,
yet passive team defense. Good, deep backcourt.
Weakness: Poor shooting team. Limited offensively. Poor
rebounding team. Thin, inexperienced bench.
Outlook: UMass has settled into a state of mediocrity for
years now, so don't expect things to change much. However, since
this division is a bit down this season, they have a good enough
starting 5 to possibly challenge for the top spot. Even so, the
NIT is probably the best they'll do this season!
|
Probable Starters PG: Anthony Anderson, Jr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Kyle Watson, So. |
4. ST. JOSEPH'S
Strengths:
Excellent
backcourt. Good ball handling & distribution.
Weakness: Questionable frontcourt. Poor rebounding team.
Little depth.
Outlook: The Hawks were a huge disappointment last season,
but won't have to worry about that this time! They lost a lot
of quality players and will rebuild around their lone star, Jameer
Nelson. Postseason play of any kind would be a success!
|
Probable Starters PG: Jameer Nelson, Jr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Dave Mellon, Fr. |
5. RHODE ISLAND
Strengths:
Decent
backcourt.
Weakness: Terrible shooting, rebounding, defensive team.
Inept frontcourt. Struggle to score points.
Outlook: Don't get me wrong, RI will still stink up the
joint. But at least they've got enough "talent" to stay
out of the basement this season!
|
Probable Starters PG: Howard Smith, Sr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Marcel Momplaisir, So. |
6. FORDHAM
Strengths:
Decent
wings.
Weakness: Backcourt..we don't need no stinkin' backcourt!
Too many turnovers! Horrible 3-pt & FT shooting team. Poor
team defense.
Outlook: Yes, my friends...there is a worse team than RI!
All the talent went bye-bye! Coach Hill should have too!
|
Probable Starters PG: Jermaine Anderson, Fr. |
Top Reserves 6th: John Blackgrove, Fr. |
1. XAVIER
Strengths:
Excellent
inside/outside duo of West/Sato. Big, strong frontcourt. Good
shooting team. Aggressive team defense. Deep bench. Loads of experience.
Weakness: Poor ball handling & distribution.
Outlook: Simply stated...Xavier will NOT be the St. Joe's
of last season! This team is loaded and should make a deep run
in the Tournament!
|
Probable Starters PG: Lionel Chalmers, Sr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Keith Jackson, So. |
2. DAYTON
Strengths:
Good
shooting & rebounding team. Solid team defense. Deep bench.
Very experienced team.
Weakness: Questionable PG. Little inside scoring.
Outlook: If the Flyers can find someone to handle the point,
they could be Xavier's toughest competition in the league. Everyone
else is back, so look for them to improve. They've got bubble
written all over them!
|
Probable Starters PG: Mark Jones, So. |
Top Reserves 6th: Nate Green, Sr. |
3. RICHMOND
Strengths:
Excellent
team defense, that forces many turnovers. Good ball handling &
distribution. Lots of experience.
Weakness: Horrible rebounding team. Poor shooting team.
Outlook: The Spiders surprisingly adjusted well to their
new conference last season. In particular, Mike Skrocki exploded
late last season and became one of the league's top scorers. Look
for that to continue! Another NIT bid is well within reach!
|
Probable Starters PG: Jeff Myers, Sr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Tony Dobbins, Jr. |
4. LASALLE
Strengths:
Solid
backcourt. Good FT shooting team.
Weakness: Poor offense. Too many turnovers. Little depth
in frontcourt.
Outlook: Cleaves is a future star and Okosa can handle
his own down low, but there's not much after them. Someone's going
to have to step up if the Explorers want to keep playing in March!
|
Probable Starters PG: Mike Cleaves, So. |
Top Reserves 6th: Dwayne Jones, Sr. |
5. GEORGE WASHINGTON
Strengths:
One
player...Chris Monroe! Good FT shooting team.
Weakness: Unbalanced offense. Poor team defense. Small,
inexperienced frontcourt. Poor ball handling & distribution.
Outlook: The hope is one of the freshman will step up,
so there's some hope for this program after Monroe graduates!
A long season again!
|
Probable Starters PG: T. J. Thompson, So. |
Top Reserves 6th: Darnell Miller, Jr. |
6. DUQUESNE
Strengths:
Promising
frontcourt. Good FT shooting team. Deep bench.
Weakness: Poor team defense. Weak rebounding team. Poor
ball handling & distribution. Questionable PG. Lack of scorers.
Outlook: This team is slowly improving and may move up
in the standings if some of their newcomers can make some positive
contributions.
|
Probable Starters PG: Bryant McAllister, Fr. |
Top Reserves 6th: Brad Midgley, Sr. |
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